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  Annual Report 2001     E-mail

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COMMENTARY
 
CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT

Trading Performance | Long-Term Receivables | Banking Facilities | Forecast | Dividends | Acknowledgements

I am pleased to report an increase in headline earnings to R721 million or 471,9 cents per share for the eighteen months to 31 December 2001 (12 months to 30 June 2000: R252 million and 165,0 cents per share).

The net asset value of the group increased by R1,0 billion to R2,3 billion (by 662 cents to 1 521 cents per share). The dominating feature of the financial results is the impact of the 44% decline in the value of the rand from R6,78 to R12,06 to the US dollar over the reporting period.

In accordance with South African Standards of Generally Accepted Accounting Practice ('GAAP'), our dollar denominated monetary assets and liabilities were translated into rand at the spot $/R exchange rate on 31 December 2001. The translation of the net present value of our long-term receivables, discounted at 9,5% p.a., gave rise to an increase of R2,1 billion in their value. In compliance with GAAP, this gain has been included in income before tax. The translation into rand of the net present value of dollar denominated provisions against the receivables similarly caused an increase of R900 million in the value of these provisions. A further R200 million provision has been made due to the difficult current conditions in the container leasing industry - all resulting in a net gain of R1,0 billion.

In view of the significant impact on headline earnings of this yet to be realised gain, we have again investigated the possibility of reflecting the unrealised portion of this gain in ways other than through the income statement, for example, by way of a transfer to reserves. However, current accounting conventions do not allow us to do so without a qualified audit report.

I again remind members that the positive effect of the weak rand on our net earnings will be reduced to the extent that the rand may appreciate against the US dollar. To provide some perspective, note that if the rand had been, say, R11,00 to the dollar at 31 December 2001, income before tax would have been some R245 million lower.

The above gains are, nonetheless, an outcome of our strategy to focus on the international container industry and maximise assets in offshore locations earning revenue in hard currencies - mainly US dollars.  

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TRADING PERFORMANCE

Our main operation in the container industry, Textainer, traded very well in difficult conditions and contributed R166 million to headline earnings for the 18-month period. The company has taken certain steps to improve its position for the future; in the short-term by positioning many containers in depots in the East in readiness to meet the needs of its customers when demand increases in that area; and in the longer term, by increasing (currently to 68%) the proportion of its owned fleet under long-term lease, thus mitigating the effect of the cyclicality that is inherent in this industry.

During the year Textainer completed three separate financings totalling US$595 million. These achieved more effective and lower cost funding and have positioned the company well to take full advantage of any upturn in business conditions. Gearing nevertheless remains fairly low for an equipment leasing company in the USA.

We are confident that Textainer's performance and earnings this year are well ahead of its competitors and that Textainer will continue to do well in the context of its industry.

Our business in the supply chain logistics management industry has progressed well, although we only expect this division, as a whole, to become profitable over the next two years.

It has for some time been our plan to realise the potential of this business by extending it offshore. During the past year it has been restructured and the international operations are now conducted through TrenStar Inc based in Denver, USA. This company was formed through the merger of the intellectual property and offshore interests of Trencor Solutions with the MicroStar Group in the USA to form TrenStar and subsequently with KTP Ltd in the United Kingdom. Trencor now has a 61% interest in TrenStar. Both MicroStar and KTP have successful operations in management in the supply chain area and do business with major international customers. The completion of these moves, together with developments since then, boost our confidence that the TrenStar model is addressing an important market need that will add value to the operations of our customers and provide good returns on our investment.

Subsequent to the year-end, TrenStar entered into an important contract in terms whereof the entire beer keg fleet (1,9 million units) of a major UK beer brewer was acquired by a special purpose company, 75% owned by TrenStar. This fleet will, under a 15-year service agreement, be made available to and managed for the brewer by TrenStar subsidiaries at an availability/service fee calculated on a 'per fill fee' basis, subject to certain minimums. This transaction is an important validation of our product and we believe it provides a strong base for the further global expansion of TrenStar.  

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LONG-TERM RECEIVABLES

The long-term container export receivables remain an important contributor to our earnings. Over the past two years it has been necessary to make considerable provisions due to poor trading conditions in the industry, resulting in lower utilisation and lease rates which have adversely affected leasing companies' cashflows. We believe these are unlikely to decline much further and we are, in fact, hopeful of modest improvement leading to better trading conditions towards the end of the year.  

 


BANKING FACILITIES

In November 2000, we entered into a 3-year facility with our South African banks to meet the changes in our needs following the cessation of the formation of new container export partnerships and closure of our dry freight container factories. In December 2001 we effectively refinanced these facilities by way of a letter of credit issued by two of our foreign banks. This change led to improved terms and flexibility and it marked the end of the difficult period caused by the closure of our factories. More importantly, our offshore bankers operate in the international business areas where we are active and are thus better acquainted with the international asset-based type financing that our operations and future plans require.

Subsequent to the approval of the annual financial statements, we procured a draw down under the US dollar denominated letter of credit and repaid our South African banks in full, as more fully detailed in the subsequent events section.

FORECAST

Shareholders will appreciate the significant changes Trencor has undergone in the past few years in implementing our stated strategy of 'enabling the controlled movement of goods by providing and integrating the use of equipment, services, knowledge and information'. We have disposed of several businesses that were important parts of the group. This includes merging our Trailer Division with the businesses of SA Truck Bodies Group in exchange for a 40% holding in the merged entity.

The net result is that our businesses are now more focussed and hold better promise for the future. Textainer has become a leader in its field and is performing strongly. We look forward to improved returns in the leasing industry - especially if the worldwide oversupply of new containers, which has prevailed in recent years, is reduced.

Our business of supply chain management has achieved in a relatively short period a good base in an international market that has considerable potential and we look forward, in time, to a satisfactory contribution.  

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DIVIDENDS

The board has decided not to declare a dividend because a large proportion of earnings (relating to the revaluation of the long-term receivables) is unrealised. The full cash benefit from this source is only due over some years.

Furthermore, in the present difficult times being experienced in the container leasing industry, we believe it is in the group's interest to conserve cash and reduce borrowings.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS

Alex Brown joined the group in 1969 and after more than 30 years of service as an executive, assumed a less active non-executive role from 1 October 2001. During his tenure he played a major role in all spheres of our manufacturing and overseas container operations and his long and dedicated service as a group executive will be missed, although we are very pleased to retain his services in a non-executive capacity.

Gavan Ryan, who joined the board in November 1996 when Coronation Holdings Ltd acquired a strategic shareholding in Mobile (which was subsequently distributed in specie to Coronation shareholders), resigned from the board on 6 March 2002. We extend our appreciation to him for his clear and objective advice over the years.

I express my appreciation to our committed and dedicated employees, both locally and internationally, for their sterling efforts in a difficult period. Also to my co-directors for their guidance in a very demanding time.

N I JOWELL 10 MAY 2002

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